Will any U.S. State have more than 1,000,000 customers without power in 2025 again (after mid Jan power outages)?
Mini
8
Ṁ951
2026
81%
chance

I will attempt to check https://poweroutage.us/ at least once per day (or much more often) and this will resolve to Yes if any state has 1,000,000+ customers without power. I will be the sole person checking for resolution so it is possible that an extremely transient event will be missed. I will not resolve based on others noting in the comments that it has occurred but if I notice the comment I will check and resolve if the condition still exists. I will also see if following on FB or twitter helps and may enlist others in my circle to make it more likely I notice.

To clarify this will only apply to the 50 US States.

United States Power Outage Map
PowerOutage.us tracks, records, and aggregates power outages across the United States.
#️ Technology
#World
#News
#United States
#Natural Disasters
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@SuperTaxGenius In my opinion, you should update the market's description to specify the start date in addition to the end point.

As written, it's for the entirety of calendar year 2025, but that doesn't seem to be how you're resolving these, since there is an identical market that has already resolved YES.

https://manifold.markets/SuperTaxGenius/will-any-us-state-have-more-than-10

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