Retrotransposon activation identified as the primary root cause of ageing by 2035?
3
Ṁ1232034
17%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolution Criteria: This market resolves based on my credence in 2035 that retrotransposons copying themselves are the primary root cause of ageing. I will not trade in this market.
Post inspiring this question: https://www.lesswrong.com/s/3hfjaztptwEt2cCve/p/ui6mDLdqXkaXiDMJ5
Get Ṁ1,000 play money
Related questions
Related questions
By 2030, will there be a cure to aging?
12% chance
Will Mitochondria mutations be identified as the primary root cause of aging by 2035?
9% chance
Will a therapy that substantially slows down or reverses the aging process in humans be developed before 2040?
68% chance
By 2040, will there be a cure to aging?
42% chance
Will scientists confirm the reversal of ageing in humans through genetic editing or other technologies by the end 2045?
66% chance
Will Retro Biosciences succeed in increasing healthy human lifespan by ten years?
18% chance
By 2070, will there be a cure to aging?
45% chance
By 2060, will there be a cure to aging?
36% chance
By 2050, will there be a cure to aging?
37% chance
Will All Diseases and Aging be Effectively Cured by 2035?
12% chance