At least one recent major fire in Los Angeles determined to be arson by April 30, 2025
Mini
10
Ṁ155Apr 30
68%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This market resolves based on official determinations from LAFD or law enforcement regarding the cause of recent major fires in Los Angeles County.
References:
Get Ṁ1,000 play money
Related questions
Related questions
How many deaths will the LA times report have resulted from the Los Angeles area fires that began January 7th 2025?
Will large media outlets report arson as a significant contributor to the current swath of LA fires?
3% chance
Was any of the major LA wildfires laid by arson and if yes, by whom?
Los Angeles Fires - Coordinated Arson?
3% chance
Will more incendiary devices be found hidden on airplanes by May 2025?
30% chance
🔥Will More Than 1,327,999 Acres Burn During The 2025 California Wildfire Season?
26% chance
🔥 Will More Than 1,000,000 Acres Burn During The 2025 California Wildfire Season?
55% chance
Will air quality in Los Angeles improve by 2037?
87% chance
Will Los Angeles freeze over by 2030?
46% chance
Conditional on Trump elected, will there be more wildfire acreage burnt in California in 2024-2028 than in 2020-2024?
87% chance