Will Musk-backed third-party candidate(s) win any seats in Congress by the end of 2026?
21
แน27432026
19%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves YES if a candidate who is neither a Democrat or a Republican, and is supported by Elon Musk, is elected to the US Senate or House of Representatives by the end of 2026. Resolves NO otherwise.
Get แน1,000 play money
Related questions
Related questions
Elon Musk significantly backs a third party in Midterms?
40% chance
Musk party member elected to US congress in 2026?
4% chance
Will a Third Party Candidate win a House seat by 2040?
25% chance
Will a third party win a federal office in the US before the end of 2028?
9% chance
Will Elon Musk successfully primary any incumbent Democrats in the next election?
49% chance
Will any GOP member of the US Congress lose their 2026 election to a candidate endorsed by Elon Musk?
56% chance
Will Elon Musk's political orientation change by the end of 2025?
25% chance
Will Elon Musk successfully defeat at least 5 Republicans in 2026?
20% chance
Will any third party gain more than 5 concurrent seats in Congress before the end of 2032
15% chance
If Musk registers a new party before the 2026 midterms, what % of House votes will it win?