[Multiple choice, add your own] Which of the following will be true of Solana (SOL) in 2024?

Mini

Ṁ453

Dec 31

ALL

91%

Goes above $200

83%

Reaches new ATH

80%

Overtakes any crypto in terms of market cap that was ahead of it at the start of the year (BTC/ETH/USDT/BNB)

76%

Gets overtaken by any crypto in terms of market cap that was behind it at the start of the year (not BTC/ETH/USDT/BNB)

44%

A major hack or exploit worth over $100m happens (extraction of funds taking place on the Solana chain, bridges count if the funds are stolen on Solana)

13%

Falls below $50

Falls below $3

Price related markets resolve to the daily close on coinmarketcap.

Flips or dips markets will resolve as soon as they happen, provided it’s not some anomalous price that lasts for a few minutes which is hard to verify.

A different data source will be used if it seems that there are issues with coinmarketcap.

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As play money and sweepstakes markets are independent of each other, they may have different odds even though they share the same question and comments.

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What is this?

What is Manifold?

Manifold is a social prediction market with real-time odds on wide ranging news such as politics, tech, sports and more!

Participate for free in sweepstakes markets to win sweepcash which can be withdrawn for real money!

Are our predictions accurate?

Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.

Why should I trade?

Trading contributes to accurate answers of important, real-world questions and helps you stay more accountable as you make predictions.

Trade with Sweepcash (𝕊) for a chance to win withdrawable cash prizes.

Get started for free! No credit card required.

What are sweepstakes markets?

There are two types of markets on Manifold: play money and sweepstakes.

By default all markets are play money and use mana. These markets allow you to win more mana but do not award any prizes which can be cashed out.

Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash to participate and allow winners to withdraw any sweepcash won to real money.

As play money and sweepstakes markets are independent of each other, they may have different odds even though they share the same question and comments.

Learn more.

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