Will there be a computing cluster with 10^20 FLOP/s before end of 2024?
Mini
3
Ṁ802025
67%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Cluster is defined as in the Biden's executive order:
any computing cluster that has a set of machines physically co-located in a single datacenter, transitively connected by data center networking of over 100 Gbit/s, and having a theoretical maximum computing capacity of 10^20 integer or floating-point operations per second for training AI.
Credible reports must exist by the end of March 2025 of the cluster existing in 2023/2024. The cluster doesn't have to be in scope of all reporting requirements of the executive order (e.g. if it's in China), just the size is sufficient.
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