Iranian Regime survives Trump Administration?
13
Ṁ3502029
58%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolution Criteria
This market resolves to YES if the current Iranian regime remains in power throughout Donald Trump's presidency and is still in power when Trump leaves office.
It resolves to NO if the regime collapses, is overthrown, or fundamentally transforms into a different system of government during Trump's term.
Happy to clarify edge cases.
Get Ṁ1,000 play money
Related questions
Related questions
Will Ali Khamenei remain Supreme Leader of Iran through December 31st, 2025?
82% chance
Will Iran’s current government be overthrown, removed, or collapse before January 2026?
10% chance
Will Iran experience regime change in 2025?
7% chance
Will the Iranian regime survive the date it predicted for Israel's destruction?
20% chance
Will Iran try to assassinate Trump?
13% chance
Will Iran’s regime fall in 2025?
9% chance
E3 snap back Iran nuclear deal sanctions by October 18, 2025?
85% chance
Will the Iran Nuclear Deal be revived under Iran's new president Masoud Pezeshkian?
40% chance
Will Reza Pahlavi head a transitional government inside Iran before January 2026?
4% chance
Will Trump survive through end-of-term (Jan 20, 2029) without succumbing to natural causes/old age.
83% chance