Will xAI stop working on AI research by 2029?
Mini
2
Ṁ202029
41%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This is broadly meant to encompass failure of the company:
Bankruptcy
Technically getting acquired by another one of Musk's companies to save face / retain talent for his other companies
Dramatically pivoting to no longer doing fundamental AI research.
Get Ṁ1,000 play money
Related questions
Related questions
Will X be merged into xAI in 2025?
12% chance
Will xAI ship an AI model similar to Deep Research before February 4, 2026?
97% chance
Will there be a global "pause" on cutting-edge AI research due to government regulation by 2025?
1% chance
Will xAI significantly rework their alignment plan by the start of 2026?
63% chance
Will AI wipe out AI before the year 2030?
4% chance
Will AI wipe out AI before 2030?
8% chance
Will any AI researchers be killed by someone explicitly trying to slow AI capabilities by end of 2028?
27% chance
Will humanity wipe out AI x-risk before 2030?
10% chance
Will the United States ban AI research by the end of 2037?
20% chance
Will x.AI actually publish any new results in physics by 2025?
3% chance