Will a Sequences-style book on FDT be written by 2026?
Mini
5
Ṁ622026
34%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Distilling Planecrash/other sources into a book-length non-fiction text about functional decision theory.
Get Ṁ1,000 play money
Related questions
Related questions
Will a film or TV show based on a book by Brandon Sanderson release before 2030?
47% chance
Will Nassim Taleb publish a new book in 2025?
43% chance
Will Sam Bankman-Fried author a book that will be an New York Times bestseller before 2075?
35% chance
Will my novel be published (or be on track to be) by mid-2026?
36% chance
Will it be possible to generate a 1h+ movie from a book in 2025?
19% chance
Will it be possible to generate a 1h+ movie from a book in 2026?
35% chance
x
45% chance
Will Neal Stephenson publish a novel in which AI is a crucial plot element by the end of 2026?
11% chance
Will a novel published by a 'Big Five' publisher turn out to be written by an AI by 2028?
58% chance
Will there be a sequel to Balatro by EOY 2030?
20% chance