Will Manifold donate at least $50 to a fraudulent charity before 2030?
Mini
7
Ṁ1592030
78%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves YES if, before the start of 2030, there is evidence that Manifold for Charity has donated (according to itself) to a charity that either is fake or has committed some kind of charity fraud. The amount of money donated by Manifold must be >= $50.
Resolves NO otherwise
Get Ṁ1,000 play money
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