Resolution Criteria:
Definition of AI-Generated Content:
For the purpose of this prediction, AI-generated content refers to works created primarily through the use of artificial intelligence technologies. This includes, but is not limited to, AI-generated music, scripts, visual effects, or entire pieces of media where AI played a significant role in the creation process.
Qualifying Awards:
The major awards considered for this prediction are the Oscars (Academy Awards) and the Grammys.
Other prestigious awards in the respective fields may also be considered, such as the Emmy Awards for television and the Tony Awards for theater, provided they have similar recognition and stature.
Nominations:
The AI-generated content must be officially nominated for an award category that typically recognizes creative and artistic achievements.
The nomination must be confirmed by the official announcements of the respective awarding bodies (e.g., the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences for the Oscars, the Recording Academy for the Grammys).
Verification Sources:
Official nomination lists published by the awarding bodies.
Press releases from the awarding bodies.
Coverage from reputable news sources confirming the nomination of AI-generated content.
Deadline:
The nomination must occur on or before December 31, 2026.
If the announcement of nominations is made public after this date but the decision was made before the deadline, it will still count.
Exclusions:
Works where AI only played a minor role, such as basic editing or minor enhancements, do not qualify.
Nominees must be within categories directly recognizing creative or artistic achievements (e.g., Best Original Screenplay, Best Original Score, etc.).
Example: If an AI-generated song is nominated for Best New Artist at the Grammys or an AI-written screenplay is nominated for Best Original Screenplay at the Oscars, this prediction would resolve as "Yes."