
Will there be a major aviation accident this year with greater loss of life than 2023?
Mini
4
Ṁ144Dec 31
26%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
For reference, the most lethal aviation accident of 2023 happened January 15 and left 72 dead.
Get Ṁ1,000 play money
Sort by:
The market has yet to resolve. However, there was an incident, but that wasn't really an accident, or there is just not enough concise information - What do you think?
2024 Korochansky Ilyushin Il-76 crash
Occupants: 74 (5 identified)
Fatalities: 74 (5 identified)
Survivors: 0
Related questions
Related questions
How many Americans will die as a result of commercial air travel accidents in 2025?
Will any minority pilot on a US airline make a mistake that results in at least one other person's death before 2028?
57% chance
Will there be another plane crash in US airspace with >= 20 victims (fatalities) in 2025?
22% chance
How many aviation accidents and incidents will occur in the United States in 2025?
On which airline will the next major aviation disaster occur?
Will there be a plane crash with ≥100 victims in Russia in 2025?
14% chance
Will there be another spaceflight-related death by 2030?
50% chance
Will there be a fatal space accident before 2030?
59% chance
Will another Boeing 737 Max crash during flight before the end of 2028?
46% chance
Will there be another spaceflight-related death by 2040?
78% chance