Will OpenAI be the first to succeed at the IMO Grand Challenge or the XTS AI-MO competition?
Mini
5
Ṁ672040
55%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This resolves YES if the IMO grand challenge is completed first by an OpenAI team / model or wins the XTS AI-MO competition.
This market conditions on either of these being fulfilled by some team by 2040, if they are not this will resolve N/A.
Get Ṁ1,000 play money
Related questions
Related questions
By the end of Q1 2025 will an open source model beat OpenAI’s o1 model?
44% chance
Will OpenAI o1 (or any direct iteration) get gold on any International Math Olympiad by the end of 2025?
48% chance
Will a deepmind model be the first to succeed at the IMO Grand Challenge or the XTS AI-MO competition?
31% chance
Will OpenAI be in the lead in the AGI race end of 2026?
41% chance
Will an AI score 1st place on International Math Olympiad (IMO) 2025?
30% chance
Will open-source AI win (through 2025)?
35% chance
Which AI will be the first to space? OpenAI?
By the end of Q2 2025 will an open source model beat OpenAI’s o1 model?
72% chance
Will an AI by OpenAI beat a super grandmaster playing chess by 2028?
41% chance
When will an AI win the $5 million XTX AI Mathematical Olympiad Prize?