MMLU 99% #4: Will SOTA for MMLU (average) pass 99% by the start of 2027?

BIG-bench accuracy 75% #3: Will SOTA for a single model on BIG-bench pass 75% by the start of 2026?

BIG-bench accuracy 75% #5: Will SOTA for a single model on BIG-bench pass 75% by the start of 2028?

What will be true of the SOTA AI on the FrontierMath benchmark, before 2026?

Will there be a period of 12 contiguous months during which no new compute-SOTA LM is released, by Jan 1, 2033?

MMLU 99% #5: Will SOTA for MMLU (average) pass 99% by the start of 2028?

BIG-bench accuracy 75% #4: Will SOTA for a single model on BIG-bench pass 75% by the start of 2027?

By 2026, will it be standard practice to sandbox SOTA LLMs?

Will the transformer architecture be replaced in SOTA LLMs by 2028?

Will a text model achieve 100% performance on the MMLU in five years?