Will Burning Man 2024 happen and be on playa?
25
Ṁ8298
Oct 2
99%
chance

Some details:

If Burning Man fails to happen at all in 2024 it resolves to NO. If the event happens but changes days for some reason this still counts as "in 2024".

"Playa" refers to the specific portion of Black Rock Desert used in 2023 and many previous years. If the location substantively changes (e.g. to a different state) the market resolves to NO. Moving ~1mile within Black Rock Desert would still count as "in playa" in the case where the event location moves but only slightly.

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