Fatal Canadian airliner incident by end of 2027?
Mini
7
Ṁ1202028
25%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Between now (2023-01-09) and the end of 2027-12-31, will there be at least one fatal air transportation occurrence involving a Canadian-registered Commercial Airliner (CARs 705)? I will resolve this according to data from The Transportation Safety Board of Canada (TSB).
In the last ten years only one such fatality has occurred, which was in 2017. Source: http://www.bst-tsb.gc.ca/eng/stats/aviation/2021/ssea-ssao-2021.html See "Table 4. Persons fatally injured in air transportation accidents".
As I understand it, the "Airliner (CARs 705)" category comprises all commercial flights with 19 or more people on board.
I will participate in this market.
Get Ṁ1,000 play money
Related questions
Related questions
Will any minority pilot on a US airline make a mistake that results in at least one other person's death before 2028?
57% chance
Will a commercial passenger airliner be hijacked anywhere in the world by the end of 2025?
12% chance
Will another Boeing 737 Max crash during flight before the end of 2028?
46% chance
Will any part of Canada join the United States by 2027?
13% chance
USA aviation accident in Russia before end of 2028
33% chance
Will there be another plane crash in US airspace with >= 20 victims (fatalities) in 2025?
22% chance
Will Boeing announce a new 797 airliner before the end of 2025?
22% chance
Will Canada bring a sixth generation fighter into service by the end of 2035?
60% chance
On which airline will the next major aviation disaster occur?
Will Canada bring a sixth generation fighter into service by the end of 2040?
55% chance