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Manifold is a social prediction market with real-time odds on wide ranging news such as politics, tech, sports and more!

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🔥 Trending Topics

Crystal

100%98.8%

Donald Trump

0.2%

Joe Biden

0.0%

Ron DeSantis

0.0%

Nikki Haley

15%

Jesus Attends

63%

10+ people with a Wikipedia page attend

94%

According to a poll asking if they enjoyed the conference with YES/NO/No opinion, a plurality of Manifold users respond YES

The conference is cancelled

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Plus

99%

Russians are thieves

98.9%

The stolen snake bracelet reappears

98.4%

At least one named character dies

91%

At least one death occurs by accident

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I and many of my friends visit their site daily or at least weekly, and I often link them on Mantic Mondays.