https://www.fiba.basketball/en/events/fiba-eurobasket-2025

Washington Commanders beat Green Bay Packers (09/11) 8:15 PM (Prime)

Jacksonville Jaguars beat Cincinnati Bengals (09/14) 1:00 PM (CBS)

New York Giants beat Dallas Cowboys (09/14) 1:00 PM (FOX)

Chicago Bears beat Detroit Lions (09/14) 1:00 PM (FOX)

Los Angeles Rams beat Tennessee Titans (09/14) 1:00 PM (CBS)

New England Patriots beat Miami Dolphins (09/14) 1:00 PM (CBS)

San Francisco 49ers beat New Orleans Saints (09/14) 1:00 PM (FOX)

Buffalo Bills beat New York Jets (09/14) 1:00 PM (CBS)

Seattle Seahawks beat Pittsburgh Steelers (09/14) 1:00 PM (FOX)

Cleveland Browns beat Baltimore Ravens (09/14) 1:00 PM (CBS)

Denver Broncos beat Indianapolis Colts (09/14) 4:05 PM (CBS)

Carolina Panthers beat Arizona Cardinals (09/14) 4:05 PM (CBS)

Philadelphia Eagles beat Kansas City Chiefs (09/14) 4:25 PM (FOX)

Atlanta Falcons beat Minnesota Vikings (09/14) 8:20 PM (NBC)

Tampa Bay Buccaneers beat Houston Texans (09/15) 7:00 PM (ABC/ESPN)

Los Angeles Chargers beat Las Vegas Raiders (09/15) 10:00 PM (ESPN)

Get ready for an exhilarating season of football!

 (⭐4.96) for lightning-fast market resolutions and surprise market liquidity boosts all year long. Don't miss out—join the excitement today!

FIDE Grand Swiss is a premier chess tournament. It takes place between September 4 and 15 and it is an 11-round Swiss tournament with classical time control. Top 2 players qualify for next Candidates.

If there is a tie at the end, there is no play-off. The winner is determined by the highest average ratings of opponents (full tiebreak rules - 

https://handbook.fide.com/files/handbook/Regulations_for_the_FIDE_Grand_Swiss_2025.pdf

Feel free to add any players you want to.

Thursday 3/27, 3:00 PM:  MIL Brewers (YES) vs NY Yankees (NO)

Thursday 3/27 3:07 PM: BAL Orioles (YES) vs TOR Blue Jays (NO)

Thursday 3/27 4:05 PM: PHI Phillies (YES) vs WSH Nationals (NO)

Thursday 3/27 4:05 PM: BOS Red Sox (YES) vs TEX Rangers (NO)

Thursday 3/27 4:10 PM: PIT Pirates (YES) vs MIA Marlins (NO)

Thursday 3/27 4:10 PM: SF Giants (YES) vs CIN Reds (NO)

Thursday 3/27 4:10 PM: LA Angels (YES) vs CHI White Sox (NO)

Thursday 3/27 4:10 PM: CLE Guardians (YES) vs KC Royals (NO)

Thursday 3/27 4:10 PM: NY Mets (YES) vs HOU Astros (NO)

Thursday 3/27 4:10 PM: ATL Braves (YES) vs SD Padres (NO)

Thursday 3/27 4:15 PM: MIN Twins (YES) vs STL Cardinals (NO)

Thursday 3/27 7:00 PM: DET Tigers (YES) vs LA Dodgers (NO)

Thursday 3/27 10:10 PM: CHI Cubs (YES) vs ARZ Diamondbacks (NO)

Thursday 3/27 10:10 PM: Athletics (YES) vs SEA Mariners (NO)

Friday 3/28, 4:10 PM: COL Rockies (YES) vs TB Rays (NO) 

Friday 3/28, 7:07 PM: (BAL) Orioles (YES) vs TOR Blue Jays (NO)

Friday 3/28, 7:10 PM: PIT Pirates (YES) vs MIA Marlins (NO)

Friday 3/28, 8:05 PM: BOS Red Sox (YES) vs TEX Rangers (NO)

Friday 3/28, 8:10 PM: NY Mets (YES) vs HOU Astros (NO) 

Friday 3/28, 9:40 PM: ATL Braves (YES) vs SD Padres (NO) 

Friday 3/28, 9:40 PM: CHI Cubs (YES) vs ARZ Diamondbacks (NO) 

Friday 3/28, 9:40 PM: Athletics (YES) vs SEA Mariners (NO) 

Friday 3/28, 10:10 PM: DET Tigers  (YES) vs LAD Dodgers (NO) 

Saturday 3/29, 1:05 PM: MIL Brewers (YES) vs NY Yankees (NO) 

Saturday 3/29, 2:10 PM: LA Angels (YES) vs CHI White Sox (NO) 

Saturday 3/29, 2:15 PM: MIN Twins (YES) vs STL Cardinals (NO) 

Saturday 3/29, 3:07 PM: BAL Orioles (YES) vs TOR Blue Jays (NO) 

Saturday 3/29, 4:05 PM: PHI Phillies (YES) vs WSH Nationals (NO) 

Saturday 3/29, 4:10 PM: COL Rockies (YES) vs TB Rays (NO) 

Saturday 3/29, 4:10 PM: PIT Pirates (YES) vs MIA Marlins (NO) 

Saturday 3/29, 4:10 PM: SF Giants (YES) vs CIN Reds (NO) 

Saturday 3/29, 4:10 PM: CLE Guardians (YES) vs KC Royals (NO) 

Saturday 3/29, 7:05 PM: BOS Red Sox (YES) vs TEX Rangers (NO) 

Saturday 3/29, 7:15 PM: NY Mets (YES) vs HOU Astros (NO) 

Saturday 3/29, 7:15 PM: ATL Braves (YES) vs SD Padres (NO) 

Saturday 3/29, 8:10 PM: CHI Cubs (YES) vs ARZ Diamondbacks (NO) 

Saturday 3/29, 9:10 PM: DET Tigers (YES) vs LA Dodgers (NO) 

Saturday 3/29, 9:40 PM: Athletics (YES) vs SEA Mariners (NO) 

Sunday 3/30, 1:35 PM: MIL Brewers (YES) vs NY Yankees (NO) 

Sunday 3/30, 1:35 PM: PHI Phillies (YES) vs WSH Nationals (NO) 

Sunday 3/30, 1:37 PM: BAL Orioles (YES) vs TOR Blue Jays (NO) 

Sunday 3/30, 1:40 PM: COL Rockies (YES) vs TB Rays (NO) 

Sunday 3/30, 1:40 PM: PIT Pirates (YES) vs MIA Marlins (NO) 

Sunday 3/30, 1:40 PM: SF Giants (YES) vs CIN Reds (NO) 

Sunday 3/30, 2:10 PM: LA Angels (YES) vs CHI White Sox (NO) 

Sunday 3/30, 2:15 PM: CLE Guardians (YES) vs KC Royals (NO) 

Sunday 3/30, 2:15 PM: MIN Twins (YES) vs STL Cardinals (NO) 

Sunday 3/30, 2:35 PM: BOS Red Sox (YES) vs TEX Rangers (NO) 

Sunday 3/30, 4:10 PM: CHI Cubs (YES) vs ARZ Diamondbacks (NO) 

Sunday 3/30, 4:10 PM: Athletics (YES) vs SEA Mariners (NO) 

Sunday 3/30, 7:10 PM: ATL Braves (YES) vs SD Padres (NO) 

Monday 3/31, 2:10 PM: KC Royals (YES) vs MIL Brewers (NO) 

Monday 3/31, 2:10 PM: MIN Twins (YES) vs CHW White Sox (NO)

Monday 3/31, 3:05 PM: BOS Red Sox (YES) vs BAL Orioles (NO)

Monday 3/31, 3:05 PM: COL Rockies (YES) vs PHI Phillies (NO)

Monday 3/31, 6:40 PM: NYM Mets (YES) vs MIA Marlins (NO)

Monday 3/31, 6:40 PM: TEX Rangers (YES) vs CIN Reds (NO)

Monday 3/31, 7:05 PM: PIT Pirates (YES) vs TB Rays (NO)

Monday 3/31, 7:07 PM: WSH Nationals (YES) vs TOR Blue Jays (NO)

Monday 3/31, 7:45 PM: LAA Angels (YES) vs STL Cardinals (NO)

Monday 3/31, 8:10 PM: SF Giants (YES) vs HOU Astros (NO)

Monday 3/31, 9:40PM: CLE Guardians (YES) vs SD Padres (NO)

Monday 3/31, 9:40PM: DET Tigers (YES) vs SEA Mariners (NO)

Monday 3/31, 10:05 PM: CHC Cubs (YES) vs Athletics  (NO)

Monday 3/31, 10:10 PM: ATL Braves (YES) vs LAD Dodgers (NO)

Tuesday 4/1, 6:40 PM: NYM Mets (YES) vs MIA Marlins (NO) 

Tuesday 4/1, 6:40 PM: TEX Rangers (YES) vs CIN Reds (NO)

Tuesday 4/1, 7:05 PM: ARZ Diamondbacks (YES) vs NYY Yankees (NO) 

Tuesday 4/1, 7:05 PM: PIT Pirates (YES) vs TB Rays (NO) 

Tuesday 4/1, 7:07 PM: WSH Nationals (YES) vs TOR Blue Jays (NO) 

Tuesday 4/1, 7:40 PM: KC Royals (YES) vs MIL Brewers (NO) 

Tuesday 4/1, 7:40 PM: MIN Twins (YES) vs CWS White Sox (NO) 

Tuesday 4/1, 7:45 PM: LAA Angels (YES) vs STL Cardinals (NO) 

Tuesday 4/1, 8:10 PM: SF Giants (YES) vs  HOU Astros (NO) 

Tuesday 4/1, 9:40 PM: CLE Guardians (YES) vs SD Padres (NO) 

Tuesday 4/1, 9:40 PM: DET Tigers (YES) vs SEA Mariners (NO) 

Tuesday 4/1, 10:05 PM: CHC Cubs (YES) vs Athletics (NO) 

Tuesday 4/1, 10:10 PM: ATL Braves (YES) vs LAD Dodgers (NO) 

Wednesday 4/2, 12:40 PM: TEX Rangers (YES) vs CIN Reds (NO)

Wednesday 4/2, 1:10 PM: PIT Pirates (YES) vs TB Rays (NO) 

 Wednesday 4/2, 1:10 PM: KC Royals (YES) vs MIL Brewers (NO) 

 Wednesday 4/2, 1:15 PM: LAA Angels (YES) vs STL Cardinals (NO) 

Wednesday 4/2, 2:10 PM: MIN Twins (YES) vs CWS White Sox (NO) 

Wednesday 4/2, 3:07 PM: WSH Nationals (YES) vs TOR Blue Jays (NO) 

Wednesday 4/2, 3:35 PM: CHC Cubs (YES) vs Athletics (NO) 

Wednesday 4/2, 4:10 PM: SF Giants (YES) vs HOU Astros (NO) 

Wednesday 4/2, 4:10 PM: CLE Guardians (YES) vs SD Padres (NO) 

Wednesday 4/2, 4:10 PM: DET Tigers (YES) vs SEA Mariners (NO) 

Wednesday 4/2, 4:40 PM: NYM Mets (YES) vs MIA Marlins (NO) 

Wednesday 4/2, 6:45 PM: BOS Red Sox (YES) vs BAL Orioles (NO) 

Wednesday 4/2, 6:45 PM: COL Rockies (YES) vs PHI Phillies (NO) 

Wednesday 4/2, 7:05 PM: ARZ Diamondbacks (YES) vs NYY Yankees (NO) 

Wednesday 4/2, 8:38 PM: ATL Braves (YES) vs LAD Dodgers (NO) 

Thursday 4/3, 1:05 PM: BOS Red Sox (YES) vs BAL Orioles (NO) 

Thursday 4/3, 1:05 PM: COL Rockies (YES) vs PHI Phillies (NO) 

Thursday 4/3, 4:10 PM: HOU Astros (YES) vs MIN Twins (NO) 

Thursday 4/3, 7:05 PM: ARZ Diamondbacks (YES) vs NYY Yankees (NO) 

Thursday 4/3, 7:40PM: CIN Reds (YES) vs MIL Brewers (NO) 

Friday 4/4, 1:10 PM: CWS White Sox (YES) vs DET Tigers (NO)

Postponed games will resolve N/A and reposted when a makeup date is scheduled. 

Have fun and remember to trade responsibly.

Which team will win the tournament this year?

Washington Commanders (NO) @ Green Bay Packers (YES)

Jacksonville Jaguars (NO) @ Cincinnati Bengals (YES)

New York Giants (NO) @ Dallas Cowboys (YES)

Los Angeles Rams (NO) @ Tennessee Titans (YES)

New England Patriots (NO) @ Miami Dolphins (YES)

San Francisco 49ers (NO) @ New Orleans Saints (YES)

Seattle Seahawks (NO) @ Pittsburgh Steelers (YES)

Cleveland Browns (NO) @ Baltimore Ravens (YES)

Denver Broncos (NO) @ Indianapolis Colts (YES)

Carolina Panthers (NO) @ Arizona Cardinals (YES)

Philadelphia Eagles (NO) @ Kansas City Chiefs (YES)

Atlanta Falcons (NO) @ Minnesota Vikings (YES)

Tampa Bay Buccaneers (NO) @ Houston Texans (YES)

Los Angeles Chargers (NO) @ Las Vegas Raiders (YES)

Every week, pick one team to win by betting on them before game start. If that team wins, you move on to next week. If they lose, you are eliminated. Any team you pick one week CAN NOT be picked in any future weeks. 

Most Importantly - Prizes (Amount TBD after this Week)

I'll send out a tracking spreadsheet after Week 2.

After you submit a pick, you may bet on the market as normal and as many times as you want, the market will resolve identically to the main NFL games markets (although do note, the YES/NO is reversed here to clearly show what team you are picking):

Shameless Plug to my other fun NFL Markets:

The list updates daily. Market resolves according to the September 30 update.

Despite just announcing what I think of as 

if Unity's stock is above 38.97 at market close in two years. 

- I will be factoring in stock splits, so the stock doing well and growing but splitting would still resolve a YES if appropriate. 

- I will be using the NOMINAL value not inflation adjusted for simplicity.

Islamic Geometric Patterns In The Metropolitan Museum Of Art

The Astral Codex Ten Commentariat (“Why Do We Suck?”)

Participation in Phase I Clinical Pharmaceutical Research

Synaptic Plasticity and Memory Hypothesis

Since the roster may change, I will add an option each friday whenever a new contestant is posted

Note to new users: shares in "Other" get automatically converted whenever a new option is added. So if you buy "Yes" shares you are voting towards all the non-listed competitors and similarly if you buy "No" shares

Will Eliezer Yudkowsky and Nate Soares book 

 get on the NYT bestseller list this year?

Verification will be based on the official NYT Best Seller lists. Currently I understand that to mean this resolves YES if it makes the online list (top 35), but I intend it to mean whatever best maps to "can write, New York Times Bestseller on the book".

https://manifold.markets/NathanpmYoung/how-many-copies-of-yudkowsky-and-so?play=true

Resolves Yes if Elon Musk is the richest person in the world according to Forbes:

https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/

If Forbes doesn’t exist it will be based on popular reporting of the matter.

EG "make me a 120 minute Star Trek / Star Wars crossover". It should be more or less comparable to a big-budget studio film, although it doesn't have to pass a full Turing Test as long as it's pretty good. The AI doesn't have to be available to the public, as long as it's confirmed to exist.

The market resolves “Yes” if Bitcoin (BTC) reaches or exceeds $125,000 USD at any point in 

. The price must be reflected as the high/low price in any 1-minute candlestick during the month. If Bitcoin does not hit $125K during 

 30, 2025, at 23:59 PT, or earlier if Bitcoin crosses $125K at any time during the month.

Resolves to my personal judgement when sufficient information is released

. I will not bet in this market. Resolves based on the state of information at market close (Nov. 9).

For reference, the Trump shooter would have been "indiscernible." 

Resided in the same state as the incident

Motivated primarily by political ideology

Shooting was motivated by gun legislation in some way

Will the shooter of Charlie Kirk be apprehended alive by the end of September?

Posted about Charlie Kirk on social media before the shooting

Was awarded a medal or award for marksmanship at any given point in time

Lives (or has lived) in the Provo–Orem metropolitan area

The shooter is alive when this market hits 100 traders

Avowed right-leaning ideology (broadly construed: Republican, MAGA, right-libertarian, neo-Nazi, monarchist all count)

Avowed left-leaning ideology (broadly construed: Democrat, socialist, communist, Green all count)

Inconsistent, incoherent, or idiosyncratic political ideology

Motivated by personal grudge rather than politics (e.g. sexual jealousy or other personal-life motive)

Current or former LDS Church (mainline Mormon) member

Current or former Calvary Chapel or other Pentecostal church member

Firearm used was otherwise lawfully owned under federal and state law

Involved in Israel/Palestine activism on either side

Any published writings (including blogs, tweets, etc.) supporting Luigi Mangione

Any published writings (including blogs, tweets, etc.) supporting the July 2024 attempted assassination of Donald Trump

Anarchist (self-described; any "anarcho-" label counts)

Wanted to create pretext for violence against leftists

A time traveller trying to avoid the worst

Will share their first name with a famous video game character

Was motivated by the Trump Epstein cover up?

Has Twitter account with more than 2000 tweets

Will be apprehended at McDonald's, like Luigi Mangione.

legally acquired the gun used to kill Charlie Kirk

Current or previous student at University of Utah

is in fact three racoons dressed in a trenchcoat

at least half of the questions in this market resolve YES (excluding questions about other question's resolutions) (excluding N/A)

at least a quarter of the questions in this market resolve YES (excluding questions about other question's resolutions) (excluding N/A)

at least ten questions in this market resolve YES (excluding questions about other question's resolutions) (excluding N/A)

Resolves to Yes only according to the shooters online history or letters he left. If none of those, what his partner or family says about his political leaning. In the unlikely event that he is politically neutral, then only the most recent message counts.

Trade on politics & more