MANIFOLD

Trade on politics & more

Manifold is a social prediction market with real-time odds on wide ranging news such as politics, tech, sports and more!
Participate for free in sweepstakes markets to win sweepcash which can be withdrawn for real money!
แน€Compete with your friends by trading with play money
Or trade with Sweepcash and win real prizes!S
๐Ÿ”ฅ Trending Topics
100%98.8%
Donald Trump
0.2%
Joe Biden
0.0%
Ron DeSantis
0.0%
Nikki Haley
85%
Mark Carney (or other Liberal leader)
15%
Pierre Poilievre
0.2%
Yves-Franรงois Blanchet
0%
Justin Trudeau
27%
Pietro Parolin
26%
Luis Antonio Tagle
10%
Other
8%
Matteo Zuppi
35%
Boston Celtics
34%
Oklahoma City Thunder
12%
Cleveland Cavaliers
5%
Los Angeles Clippers
38%
Elon Musk
24%
Other
11%
[Any variation of Artificial Intelligence]
11%
[Whoever is elected Pope after Francis]
Sign up now!
I and many of my friends visit their site daily or at least weekly, and I often link them on Mantic Mondays.
Scott Alexander
Astral Codex Ten