MANIFOLD

Trade on politics & more

Manifold is a social prediction market with real-time odds on wide ranging news such as politics, tech, sports and more!
Participate for free in sweepstakes markets to win sweepcash which can be withdrawn for real money!
แน€Compete with your friends by trading with play money
Or trade with Sweepcash and win real prizes!S
๐Ÿ”ฅ Trending Topics
100%98.8%
Donald Trump
0.2%
Joe Biden
0.0%
Ron DeSantis
0.0%
Nikki Haley
๐Ÿ’Ž
Premium
Did COVID-19 come from a laboratory?34% chance
26%
Artificial Intelligence (Including ChatGPT or any other variation)
18%
Pope Leo XIV (Robert Prevost)
17%
Other
10%
Donald Trump and/or JD Vance
Sign up now!
I and many of my friends visit their site daily or at least weekly, and I often link them on Mantic Mondays.
Scott Alexander
Astral Codex Ten