Who is the Top Living Human (Physical strength, Intelligence, Wealth)
7
Dec 17
one person
many people
imaginary
the Top Living Human isn't a human
i prefer to write the comment

is the Top Living Human - regarding https://manifold.markets/AmmonLam/who-is-the-best-living-human-physic-tQn59pSuZt - how potentialy it be one person?

Who is the Top Living Human (Physical strength, Intelligence, Wealth)
Market Description This market is a ranking competition in which human (who is alive as of Dec 14, 2025) are evaluated across three traits: Physical Strength, Intelligence, and Wealth. Scoring System I will select 5-10 human with best winning chance to rank. Ranks 1 through 10 will earn 10, 9, 8, 7, 6, 5, 4, 3, 2, 1 points respectively. An option’s overall score is the sum of the points it receives across all three trait rankings. The option with the highest overall score will be declared the winner of this market. While personal preference and subjective judgment cannot be eliminated entirely, I will make a good-faith effort to answer questions and explain how I evaluate each trait and determine relative rankings. I anticipate that cross intelligence comparison would be particularly subjective, if you ask me in the comments early on I will try my best to provide my answer to, for example, whether a specific chess world champion, fields medal winner, inventor, or hedge fund manager is considered more intelligent than the other option in my opinion. Eligible Options At a randomized closing time (to be announced), I will select the 5-10 options that I believe have the strongest prospects of winning. Only these 5-10 options will be considered for all trait rankings and overall scoring. I will make an announcement at least 2 days before the randomize closing period is set. Market Resolution The market will resolve based on the option that finishes with the highest overall score under the scoring system described above. Notes: If it is debatable whether certain human exist or is alive or not, I reserve the right to disqualify such option. Update 2025-12-14 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): All three traits (Physical Strength, Intelligence, and Wealth) will be evaluated based on current levels as of the resolution date, not peak historical levels. Update 2025-12-14 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Physical Strength will be evaluated primarily based on strength to move or carry objects (e.g., weightlifting capacity). Endurance activities like marathon running are considered a separate trait and will not be factored into the Physical Strength ranking. Skill in applying strength may matter at the margin (e.g., to the extent it affects how much weight someone can lift). Update 2025-12-15 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Dr. Younghoon Kim has been disqualified from consideration due to concerns about legitimacy. Update 2025-12-15 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): When selecting the 5-10 finalists for ranking, the creator will aim to balance the number of top candidates from each category (Physical Strength, Intelligence, and Wealth). The target is approximately 3 from each category or 2 from each category, provided there are enough options with decent prices from each category. Update 2025-12-15 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): For Intelligence evaluation: The creator considers top mathematicians to generally rank in the top 20% for chess ability among the general population, but does not believe Magnus Carlsen would rank in the top 20% for math ability. This reflects the creator's view that chess skill (involving memorization and constrained spatial reasoning) should not be placed on a pedestal relative to other forms of intelligence like mathematical ability or programming prowess.

the Manifold market mentioned..

Resolution Criteria

This market resolves based on a poll vote by other Manifold users. Traders will vote on which answer best represents the "Top Living Human" considering the combined criteria of physical strength, intelligence, and wealth. The winning answer is whichever receives the AmmonLam decision when the market resolves.

Background

The premise asks whether a single individual can realistically excel across three distinct and often competing domains: physical strength (athletic/physiological capability), intelligence (cognitive ability), and wealth (financial resources). These attributes typically require different life investments - elite athletes dedicate years to physical training, intellectuals to education and research, and wealth-builders to business or finance - making simultaneous mastery in all three areas exceptionally rare.

Considerations

The market's framing acknowledges the inherent tension in the question: the answer options include "one person," "many people," "imaginary," and "the Top Living Human isn't a human," reflecting skepticism about whether any single human can dominate across all three metrics simultaneously.

This suggests whether "top" means absolute supremacy or merely being among the best.

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The top living human is probably someone in the ISS because they are physically above everyone else

@MaxE or veterans with artificial legs/arms