Resolves according to the following website:

https://public.tableau.com/app/profile/students.for.health.security.2024/viz/USH5N1OutbreakTracker/Dashboard1

Inspired by https://manifold.markets/strutheo/will-there-be-100-or-more-human-cas-dItlZpthlz# and similar markets.

Will there be 100 or more human cases of H5N1 in the US by the end of 2025?

80% chance. resolves YES if 100 or more people are infected by the end of 2025 in the US, as reported by this website https://public.tableau.com/app/profile/students.for.health.security.2024/viz/USH5N1OutbreakTracker/Dashboard1 [image]

Be skeptical about the validity of questionable / useless AI summaries below:

• Update 2025-10-11 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): If the number of cases stays at 78 (i.e., does not reach 100, 150, 200, or 250), all answer options resolve to NO.