Will Israel survive the date Khamenei predicted for its destruction?
Will Israel survive the date Khamenei predicted for its destruction?
Plus
29
แน26372040
91%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Ali Khamenei predicted that Israel will not survive past 2040. Iran has even launched a countdown clock for Israel's purported destruction. Will Israel survive beyond that date?
Get แน1,000 play money
Sort by:
@Lemming in the article it says: "The time frame appears to stem from comments made in 2015 by Iran's supreme leader, the Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, who said there would be "nothing" left of Israel by the year 2040." So I assume that if will be change in the name of the state and other main symbols (flag, anthem etc). that will consider as no. OK?
What is this?
What is Manifold?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is a social prediction market with real-time odds on wide ranging news such as politics, tech, sports and more!
Participate for free in sweepstakes markets to win sweepcash which can be withdrawn for real money!
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEightโs performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why should I trade?
Trading contributes to accurate answers of important, real-world questions and helps you stay more accountable as you make predictions.
Trade with 
Sweepcash (๐) for a chance to win withdrawable cash prizes.
Sweepcash (๐) for a chance to win withdrawable cash prizes.Get started for free! No credit card required.
What are sweepstakes markets?
There are two types of markets on Manifold: play money and sweepstakes.
By default all markets are play money and use mana. These markets allow you to win more mana but do not award any prizes which can be cashed out.
Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash to participate and allow winners to withdraw any sweepcash won to real money.
As play money and sweepstakes markets are independent of each other, they may have different odds even though they share the same question and comments.
Learn more.Related questions
What is this?
What is Manifold?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is a social prediction market with real-time odds on wide ranging news such as politics, tech, sports and more!
Participate for free in sweepstakes markets to win sweepcash which can be withdrawn for real money!
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEightโs performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why should I trade?
Trading contributes to accurate answers of important, real-world questions and helps you stay more accountable as you make predictions.
Trade with Sweepcash (๐) for a chance to win withdrawable cash prizes.
Sweepcash (๐) for a chance to win withdrawable cash prizes.Get started for free! No credit card required.
What are sweepstakes markets?
There are two types of markets on Manifold: play money and sweepstakes.
By default all markets are play money and use mana. These markets allow you to win more mana but do not award any prizes which can be cashed out.
Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash to participate and allow winners to withdraw any sweepcash won to real money.
As play money and sweepstakes markets are independent of each other, they may have different odds even though they share the same question and comments.
Learn more.Related questions
Will Israel strike Iran's nuclear facilities before the end of 2025?
52% chance
Will the Iranian regime survive the date it predicted for Israel's destruction?
15% chance
Will Israel be destroyed before 2040, as predicted by Khamenei?
8% chance
Will Israel exist two years from now?
99% chance
Will Israel topple the government of the Islamic Republic of Iran by the end of 2025?
10% chance
Will Israel still exist at the beginning of 2032?
96% chance
Will Iran nuke Israel before the end of 2025?
2% chance
Will Iran hit Israel within 11 months of being attacked by them?
39% chance
Will Israel exist at the end of 2026?
99% chance
Will Israel still exist in 2100?
81% chance