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How many ticketed attendees will attend Slutcon, occurring Oct 10-12?
Website is slutcon.com, non-earlybird tickets are 1k, 3k, and 9k depending on tier.
We currently have 39 tickets purchased, as of 8/29.
I so far have advertised multiple times on my main twitter, and made a single post on my reddit (468k followers) and fetlife (279k).
I currently plan on posting more about it on more of my platforms (including instagram (~50k) and tiktok (~170k), and substack (~128k).
Also am coordinating with a guy who works in a similar field to help advertise to some of his clients (small pool but high conversion promise).
Still looking to source higher-profile presenters, but who knows?
Final number for resolution will not count volunteers, staff, performers, or presenters. We'll base it off names counted at checkin. We are not including partygoers for After Dark.
Update 2025-08-29 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - If the event is canceled due to having fewer than 39 ticketed attendees, this market will resolve to N/A (rather than to a 0–39 option).
Update: As of 9/11, we have 61 tickets sold
Update: As of 9/19, we have 70 tickets sold
Update: As of 9/27, we have 77 tickets sold
Update: As of 10/4, we have 99 tickets sold
Update: As of 10/7, we have 112 tickets sold
Update: As of 10/8, we have 120 tickets sold
Ticket sales close 6pm 10/9.
Update 2025-10-08 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - Resolution will be based on tickets sold (not check-ins or attendance).
No-shows count; attending all days is not required.
@hrothgar This is just tickets sold. Because ticket prices are so high I assume there will be a pretty low number of no-shows
@IsaacKing I interpreted Aella as saying that the updates she's been posting are the number of tickets sold (but that she expects that to closely match the number of attendees), rather than changing the resolution criteria (which is explicitly given as "names counted at checkin"). I'm long on the higher nunbers so obviously the measure that could give a higher count is beneficial, and I agree the AI interpretation is reasonable, but it seems weird for a market that is now receiving daily creator updates to have a change to resolution criteria like that (even though it'll probably be very close)
@Aella not the most natural interpretation of “How many ticketed attendees will attend”—could have written prop as “how many tickets will I sell” if that’s what you meant
@IsaacKing That's a loaded question, I wouldn't call ourselves better than Ploymarket. But I'll point out major differences.
Technological Difference:
We're bitcoin denominated, and run on Layer 2 of Bitcoin.
This gives us major advantage in terms of transaction speed - under one second ( pay-per-trade, instant payouts direct to user's personal wallet ), cost - lowest transaction fee.
Ability to send and receive micro-payments (1/10 of a cent) thus enabling creation of micro-markets with initial liquidity as little as 10 cents. This enables participants from under privileged society for whom $1 is too much money to participate in predictions markets.
No deposit architecture.
The robust security of bitcoin blockchain.
Appreciating asset, historically bitcoin has appreciated over long term - thus its makes a better currency for longterm markets. For example 2028 US Elections. Polymarket offers around 4% APR for longterm markets - we don't have to, as bitcoin will appreciate way over 4% per year. However not everyone would agree with this theory.
Ideological Difference:
We cater to bitcoin maximalism.
We contribute to bitcoin circular economy.