Will humans make contact with intelligent extraterrestrial life by 2050? | Manifold

Will humans make contact with intelligent extraterrestrial life by 2050?

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welp I'm out of mana

predicts NO

@DylanSlagh edit: never mind

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Not only is this extremely unlikely, but its a great hedge because I would love for it to happen. Easy no

What's your definition of extraterrestrial? For example, does finding simple bacteria qualify?

@42irrationalist It would have to be intelligent.

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+3% 1d24% chance

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