What will be true for the 2026 F1 season?

Ṁ2356

2026

ALL

72%

A driver gets permanently replaced during the season

66%

A RB or RBR driver is swapped out permanently

66%

Hamilton gets a podium finish

59%

A driver misses a race due to health reasons

59%

A team principle gets replaced during the season

56%

WDC winner wins their first title

55%

Eight GP without a full safety car deployment.

54%

Lando Norris finishes WDC in the top 3

52%

No pit crew injuries during any race.

50%

Lewis Hamilton wins a feature race

47%

WCC is won with 5 or more races to go

46%

Lewis Hamilton announces retirement

45%

Neither Cadillac nor Audi finish WCC at the bottom

45%

Hadjar scores at least half as many points as Verstappen

41%

Fernando Alonso wins a race

41%

A driver at Red Bull Racing gets replaced during the season

39%

A driver gets a race ban due to penalty points

37%

The top three drivers in the WDC will be from three different teams

34%

Ferrari finishes 2nd in the WCC

31%

Max Verstappen wins the WDC

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3 Comments

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Ferrari finishes 2nd in the WCC

@AlexanderTheGreater I made a separate market for Ferrari exact finishing position in the WCC: https://manifold.markets/BlitzEver/f1-2026-in-which-position-will-ferr?r=QmxpdHpFdmVy

bought Ṁ10 Lewis Hamilton annou... YES

There are 2 "Hamilton Podium". Is it intended to be this way?

@BlitzEver lol, no. Good catch. I resolved the one without trades as NA

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