Will Russian forces take Vuhledar in 2024?
23
แน€2676
Jan 1
71%
chance

Resolves to YES if there is broad consensus that the armed forces of Russia control all of Vuhledar within its official administrative limits, for at least 24 consecutive hours, at any point before the end of 2024.

If that has not happened by the 1st of January, 2025 (local time), it resolves to NO. In case there is any ambiguity at that point as to whether the town is fully under Russian control or contested, a delay of 7 days will be added to ascertain what the exact status of the town was on the last 24 hours of 2024.

Get แน€1,000 play money
Sort by:
bought แน€100 YES

given recent developments this seem likely

bought แน€50 YES

@Fline I think so too.

These are the town's administrative limits, at least according to Google Maps. For the purposes of this question, they'll be defined according to this map.