Will medicine master head transplants in the next 10 years?
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18
Ṁ1585Nov 22
5%
chance
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1W
1M
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With the transplanted head considered the same person by medical consensus at the time and this person surviving for more than one year.
Disclaimers:
This question is part of Foresight’s 2023 Vision Weekends to help spark discussion amongst participants, so the phrasing and resolution criteria may be vaguer than I would normally like for this site. Apologies for that. We thought it would still be useful to make the market public to potentially inform other discussions.
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