Will organ transplant in humans using modified animal organs or chimeras be successful by 2030?
Plus
19
Ṁ4192029
90%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
For it to be successful for the purpose of this question the graft has to not be acutely rejected or have issues causing it to fail for at least 6 months following surgery.
See this article for some insight: https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC6861770/
Get Ṁ1,000 play money
Sort by:
Would this have qualified if the patient had survived for 6 months?
https://www.umms.org/ummc/news/2022/transplant-of-genetically-modified-pig-heart-into-human-patient
Related questions
Related questions
Will chimeric animals become a common source of organs for human transplantation by 2030?
33% chance
Will we be able to grow human livers by 2030?
53% chance
30 years from now, will the technology for replacing organs with one's own tissues be ubiquitous?
57% chance
Will anyone deliver a human organ via autonomous jet drone before 2026?
14% chance
Will we get synthetic livers before 2035?
33% chance
Will we get synthetic kidneys before 2035?
25% chance
Will we be able to grow kidneys by 2030
45% chance
Will there be a waiting list for kidney transplants in the US by end of 2030?
90% chance
Will there be a lab-grown hair transplant by 2030?
70% chance
Will lab grown human kidneys be created before 2040?
55% chance