Will the Collatz conjecture be resolved by the end of the decade (11:59, 31 December 2029)?
Plus
36
Ṁ39352030
12%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
It's a problem a child could understand. Still, there have been countless mathematicians "wasting their careers" attempting to solve what is beyond our grasp -- and it fundamentally comes down to understanding how the multiplicative structure of the integers interacts with the additive. This will be resolved if a proof or disproof is in a journal of high esteem by the time the clock ticks by.
Get Ṁ1,000 play money
Sort by:
There's a lot of unexplored theory in the space of directed 1-forests: https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Pseudoforest
Functional graphs define directed 1-forests. In the case of the collatz conjecture this involves demonstrating that the infinite graph contains only one cycle.
Related questions
Related questions
Will the Collatz Conjecture (3x+1 problem) be solved before 2030?
15% chance
OpenAI discovers the first proof of the collatz conjecture before 2026
4% chance
By the end of year 2025, will a counter-example to the Collatz Conjecture be provided that is less than a googolplex?
3% chance
Is the Collatz conjecture true?
87% chance
Will another Millennium Problem be resolved before the end of 2025?
8% chance
Will there be a trend spike for the term "collatz" before 2027?
29% chance
Will an AI solve any important mathematical conjecture before January 1st, 2030?
76% chance
Will the first valid proofs of the Collatz Conjecture and the Riemann Hypothesis occur within 12 months of one another?
30% chance
Will any Millenium Prize Problem (other than the Poincaré conjecture) be solved by 2030?
51% chance
Will chess be solved by year 9999?
72% chance