Will Cognition Labs' Devin be used by a big company by the end of 2024?
Plus
33
Ṁ5771resolved Jan 7
Resolved
YES1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves to yes if by the end of 2024, a publicly-listed company with a market cap of over US$5 billion is publicly confirmed to be using Devin to write code, and they haven't stated that the deployment is only experimental.
Get Ṁ1,000 play money
🏅 Top traders
# | Name | Total profit |
---|---|---|
1 | Ṁ143 | |
2 | Ṁ111 | |
3 | Ṁ92 | |
4 | Ṁ72 | |
5 | Ṁ64 |
Sort by:
Cognition Labs has published a case study about Nubank, a company which meets the resolution criteria for this market, using Devin for a major project: https://devin.ai/customers/nubank
I think this makes it a YES.
@nsokolsky if they explicitly tweet that they used it for 5 minutes I'd probably consider that experimental usage and therefore excluded.
Related questions
Related questions
Will Cognition Labs (Devin) have an exit > $6bn before 2027?
50% chance
Will a major tech company (Apple, Google, Microsoft, or Meta) acquire a neurotech startup in 2025?
55% chance
Will CZ be the CEO of a company again before 2026?
24% chance
Will Cohere AI be acquired or cease operating before the end of 2025?
47% chance
Will a major technology company publicly admit to using a LLM for important decision making before 2025?
13% chance
Will a major AI lab claim to use activation steering in its main chat assistant by EOY 2025?
25% chance
Will major tech company announce functional brain-computer interface able to read complex human thoughts by end of 2030?
26% chance
Will Marc Andreessen start a new company (not an investment firm) by 2026?
43% chance
Will Elon Musk become the CEO of another fortune 500 company before 2026?
17% chance
Will at least one Anthropic or OpenAI researcher buy one of Cayden Pierce's Mentra smartglasses by EOY2026?
37% chance