What will be the population of “The Line” in 2033?
What will be the population of “The Line” in 2033?
Mini
13
Ṁ7832033
11k
expected
1D
1W
1M
ALL
As reported here on Jan 1 2033:
https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Line,_Saudi_Arabia
If there is no population listed, or Wikipedia becomes defunct or unreliable, I will consider other sources for an accurate population count. The definition of population is the general definition for human cities, i.e. humans making their primary home within the structure (even if their place of work is not within the structure). If the structure is abandoned or destroyed before resolution such that no-one lives there, I will resolve to zero.
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is a social prediction market with real-time odds on wide ranging news such as politics, tech, sports and more!
Participate for free in sweepstakes markets to win sweepcash which can be withdrawn for real money!
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why should I trade?
Trading contributes to accurate answers of important, real-world questions and helps you stay more accountable as you make predictions.
Trade with
Sweepcash (𝕊) for a chance to win withdrawable cash prizes.
Get started for free! No credit card required.
What are sweepstakes markets?
There are two types of markets on Manifold: play money and sweepstakes.
By default all markets are play money and use mana. These markets allow you to win more mana but do not award any prizes which can be cashed out.
Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash to participate and allow winners to withdraw any sweepcash won to real money.
As play money and sweepstakes markets are independent of each other, they may have different odds even though they share the same question and comments.
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