Will humanity wipe out AI before the year 2030?
Mini
7
Ṁ2062030
11%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
If AI is still around on Jan 1, 2030, then this market resolves to NO.
If AI is not around but humans are then this market resolves to YES.
If neither humanity nor AIs are around then this market does not resolve.
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@Joshua Yes, that sounds right. It would be quite ambiguous to try to account for a changing definition of AI. Probably I would use the same definition of AI as this market:
https://manifold.markets/MartinRandall/will-ai-wipe-out-humanity-before-th-d8733b2114a8
@Ansel I think that market implicitly assumes an AI is capable of resolving markets without human support, which I think is a little beyond current capabilities.
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