Will pseudoephedrine be available off-the-shelf in at least one US state by the end of 2026?
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5
Ṁ261
2027
17%
chance

This market resolves YES if any product containing pseudoephedrine is available off-the-shelf from a major retailer or pharmacy chain in at least one state before the end of 2026. Otherwise, this market resolves NO.

Fine details:

  1. DC counts as a state for these purposes.

  2. A "major retail or pharmacy chain" is defined as a chain operating at least 10 locations across at least 2 states.

  3. The sale must be open and intentional, and occur for at least one month.

  4. "Off-the-shelf" means that the product must be present on the shelves alongside other medications, not inside any locked cabinet, and able to be purchased by presenting it to a cashier like any other medication. Reasonable age restrictions are allowed, as are requirements to present photo ID or give a signature.

  5. A "product containing pseudoephedrine" must be marketed for human consumption and marketed as containing at least 1mg of pseudoephedrine.

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I think the "over the counter" clause might be confusing. I'm seeing the typical meaning of "doesn't require a prescription", but you may need to ask the pharmacist for it.

@TrentonPotter This is a good point. I've changed the term to "off-the-shelf".