At the beginning of 2030, what percentage of Manifold users will believe that an AI intelligence explosion is a significant concern before 2075?

Will average IQ in developed countries drop 15 points or more by EOY 2098?

At the beginning of 2026, what percentage of Manifold users will believe that an AI intelligence explosion is a significant concern before 2075?

At the beginning of 2029, what percentage of Manifold users will believe that an AI intelligence explosion is a significant concern before 2075?

Will Manifold stop using AI to make my questions worse by the end of 2025?

Will an AI model outperform 95% of Manifold users on accuracy before 2026?

At the beginning of 2028, what percentage of Manifold users will believe that an AI intelligence explosion is a significant concern before 2075?

Will I have more followers on Manifold than Twitter by end of 2025?

At the end of 2025, will Manifold think things have changed for the worse for us as a society?

At the beginning of 2027, what percentage of Manifold users will believe that an AI intelligence explosion is a significant concern before 2075?