Will low carbon vehicle sales (e.g. electric, hydrogen, PI hybrid) be more than 50% of all car sales in the USA by 2030?
Mini
10
Ṁ2362030
74%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
For the purposes of this question a low carbon vehicle can be a plugin hybrid, a purely electric vehicle, a hydrogen powered vehicle, or any other that doesn't directly generate significant amounts of carbon emissions. The average vehicle generates 300-400 g CO2 per mile driven so any vehicle generating less than 40g CO2 per mile driven should qualify (with the caveat that combustion-engine vehicles running on gasoline that aren't plugin hybrids will never qualify).
Passenger vehicles as defined by BTS or closest available https://www.bts.gov/content/new-and-used-passenger-car-sales-and-leases-thousands-vehicles
Get Ṁ1,000 play money
Sort by:
Related questions
Related questions
Will 50% of all new car sales in the United States be electric by 2030?
53% chance
Will low carbon vehicle sales (e.g. electric, hydrogen, PI hybrid) be more than 80% of all car sales in the USA by 2030?
22% chance
Will the majority of new cars sold be electric vehicles by the end of 2030?
70% chance
Will electric vehicles account for a majority of new light vehicles purchased in the United States by 2030?
56% chance
When will low carbon vehicle sales (e.g. electric, hydrogen, PI hybrid) be more than 90% of all car sales in the USA?
2034
Will the majority of new cars sold worldwide be electric before the end of 2030?
69% chance
Will 50%+ of new cars sold in USA be Electric Cars by the end of 2030?
75% chance
Will Tesla's market share of EVs sold in the US be above 50% in 2024?
20% chance
What kind of cars will be most sold in 2035?
Which year will electric and plugin hybrid new car sales be a majority of all new car sales in the USA?
2029