Will Trump be convicted in federal court on any charge before the 2024 general election?
167
แน34kNov 6
5%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Get แน1,000 play money
Sort by:
@Joshua This question is slightly more general, but you probably already noticed that. Why itโs higher: I think that one can sometimes plead guilty to a related misdemeanor as part of a deal with prosecutors to get felony charges dropped? Seems unlikely, but maybe a couple percent.
Related questions
Related questions
Will Trump be Convicted, if his January 6th Trial begins before the election?
Conditional on being convicted before Election Day 2024, will Trump win the 2024 election?
48% chance
Conditional on Donald Trump being indicted before the 2024 presidential election, will he win said election?
46% chance
Will Donald Trump be found guilty on one or more of the 2020 Election Result federal charges?
31% chance
If Trump wins, will Trump be found guilty of a crime before the end of 2026?
21% chance
Will Trump do jail time in 2024?
13% chance
Will Trump be convicted of a Felony before the presidential election, and will he win the election?
Will Donald Trump be elected president after having been convicted of at least one Federal charge?
16% chance
Will Trump be convicted of any more felonies or federal crimes after the New York case, and before Election Day?
3% chance
Will Donald Trump be elected president after having been convicted of at least one Federal charge?
15% chance