MANIFOLD
BrowseUS ElectionNewsAbout
ARC-AGI-2 Top Score in 2025
19
Ṁ6406
Dec 31

Invalid contract

https://arcprize.org/

This market resolves according to the score of the submission that receives the Top Score Prize ($75k) in 2025.

https://arcprize.org/blog/announcing-arc-agi-2-and-arc-prize-2025

In case the top score is in between two buckets, the market will resolve to the higher range. For example, if the top score is 50%, the market would resolve YES to 50 - 60%.

See also:

#AI
#Technical AI Timelines
#AI Impacts
#AI Benchmarks
#Competition Math
Get Ṁ1,000 play money
Comments

Related questions

Will the ARC-AGI grand prize (v1, 2024 dataset) be claimed by end of 2025?
10% chance
ARC-AGI-2 Top Score >=50% in 2025?
19% chance
Top score on codeforces by an AI model at the end of 2025
By when will 85% be reached on the public evaluation set on ARC-AGI-Pub?
Most successful approach in 2025 ARC Prize competition
Will any model score 70+% on ARC AGI 2 within 3 months of its release?
1% chance
Who will lead the AGI race end of 2025?
Will an LLM report >50% score on ARC in 2025?
85% chance
What will AI score on TheAgentCompany benchmark in early 2026?
50% chance
Will the ARC-AGI grand prize be claimed by end of 2026?
24% chance

Related questions

Will the ARC-AGI grand prize (v1, 2024 dataset) be claimed by end of 2025?
10% chance
Will any model score 70+% on ARC AGI 2 within 3 months of its release?
1% chance
ARC-AGI-2 Top Score >=50% in 2025?
19% chance
Who will lead the AGI race end of 2025?
Top score on codeforces by an AI model at the end of 2025
Will an LLM report >50% score on ARC in 2025?
85% chance
By when will 85% be reached on the public evaluation set on ARC-AGI-Pub?
What will AI score on TheAgentCompany benchmark in early 2026?
50% chance
Most successful approach in 2025 ARC Prize competition
Will the ARC-AGI grand prize be claimed by end of 2026?
24% chance
BrowseElectionNewsAbout