Gemini 3.0 scores 1500+ on Chatbot Arena in 2025? (Without Style Control)
65
Ṁ21k
Dec 15
15%
chance

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Gemini 3 on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) reaches an Arena Score of 1500+ (With "Style control" unchecked) by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

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#Gemini 3
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#Google Gemini
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Down to 1490, with a CI of 9. I'm still going to hodl my tiny stake.

It's 1495 now without style control and 1501 with. Behind it is 2.5 pro with 1465. I think it will squeeze out a 5 more elo over the next couple weeks.

https://x.ai/news/grok-4-1

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