GPT-5 releases when?
Plus
21
แน2411Dec 31
2,025.43
expected
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This market tests whether month-long buckets work decently for numeric markets. may N/A.
Get แน1,000 play money
Sort by:

If I compute the culmulative function with these questions:

and then take the derivative (or like piecewise approximation of the derivative using buckets), how well does it match the curve in your question? ๐ค
Related questions
Related questions
Will GPT-5 be released before May 2025?
1% chance
GPT-5 released to the public by May 30, 2025?
24% chance
Will GPT-5 be released before Jul 2025?
31% chance
Will GPT-5 be released before Jun 2025?
10% chance
Will GPT5 be released before July 1st 2025?
48% chance
When will GPT-5 be released? (2025)
85% chance
When will GPT 5 be released
Will GPT-5 be released before Aug 2025?
50% chance
When GPT-5 will released?
When will GPT 5 be released? (exact month)