Which of the following users will stay active on manifold until EOY 2025?
➕
Plus
37
Ṁ12k
2026
95%
@Gabrielle
93%
@Tumbles
90%
@snazzlePop
90%
@Joshua
80%
@DanHomerick
80%
@Bayesian
73%
@Eliza
67%
@strutheo
58%
@shankypanky
50%
@blume
50%
@geuber
48%
@SteveSokolowski
44%
@Aella
43%
@MartinRandall
15%
@NicoDelon

Feel free to add yourselves or any other user :p

"Not active" is not defined precisely, but the idea is that if someone essentially stops going on manifold a few times per week, for a month or two, their option can resolve NO.

#Manifold
#Manifold Users
#Manifold Business Future
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19 Comments
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@Bayesian Blankspace got banned, his option can resolve

@bagelfan what'd he do (apart from the usual)?

@benshindel He didn't start doing anything different but him constantly starting his hateful views across many markets grew tiresome and mods recommended a ban.

Here's the statement from @SirSalty

(sorry for the late reply)

@Bayesian resolve please

@geuber

🙃

@Ammonlam

😭

bought Ṁ250 Answer #508bae454bbd NO

@Bayesian

Eliezer hasn’t been active for a couple months, and Ammon stopped being active for an extended period too.

bought Ṁ250 @Bayesian YES

@snazzlePop Tyty

@stardust Inspired by jim's market!

bought Ṁ150 @RobertCousineau NO

@Bayesian a bunch of these should resolve no

Thanks

wait, should people not buy their own option to 100%, because if they quit the app it won't be a disadvantage to lose this mana anyway? hmMmMmMm

@Bayesian I've been shorting everyone except Gabrielle bc of this distortionary effect 🤭

opened a Ṁ500 @Bayesian YES at 40% order

@Stralor got a limit order on my option >:)

bought Ṁ50 @Bayesian NO

@Bayesian sure I'll bite a lil out for now :D

@Gabrielle
bought Ṁ100 @Gabrielle YES

I've been around since the beginning, I'll probably still be around

bought Ṁ10 @Ammonlam NO

very likely they will take a break

@nikki I've taken a break before, so I can see myself taking a break again

It's actually so hard to tell if I should buy any of these up or down, so passes the new market sniff test

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