Will artificial blood be used to treat a patient by the end of 2026?
Will artificial blood be used to treat a patient by the end of 2026?
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If by December 31st, 2026, artificial blood is used to treat a patient, in a way that is safe and effective, this market resolves YES.
Artificial blood is non-human blood that can replace human blood for the purpose of blood transfusions.
See also:
Will scientists create artificial blood to be used on any patient by the end of 2024?NO
Will artificial blood be used to treat a patient by the end of 2025?12%
Will artificial blood be used to treat a patient by the end of 2026?19% (This one)
Will artificial blood be used to treat a patient by the end of 2027?36%
Will artificial blood be used to treat a patient by the end of 2028?50%
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Artificial blood is non-human blood that can replace human blood for the purpose of blood transfusions.
Does that sound reasonable? I suppose i hadn't defined it precisely in my head
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is a social prediction market with real-time odds on wide ranging news such as politics, tech, sports and more!
Participate for free in sweepstakes markets to win sweepcash which can be withdrawn for real money!
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why should I trade?
Trading contributes to accurate answers of important, real-world questions and helps you stay more accountable as you make predictions.
Trade with Sweepcash (𝕊) for a chance to win withdrawable cash prizes.
Sweepcash (𝕊) for a chance to win withdrawable cash prizes.Get started for free! No credit card required.
What are sweepstakes markets?
There are two types of markets on Manifold: play money and sweepstakes.
By default all markets are play money and use mana. These markets allow you to win more mana but do not award any prizes which can be cashed out.
Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash to participate and allow winners to withdraw any sweepcash won to real money.
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