Will Wikipedia still be in the top 10 most visited websites at the end of 2025?
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Jan 1
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Resolves according to Wikipedia's List of Most Visited Websites: https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_most_visited_websites

Wikipedia is currently #7. Resolves based on whatever data is there on Jan 1, 2025. If the wikipedia page above lists Wikipedia as 11th or lower, resolves NO. If Reddit is 10th or higher, resolves YES.

Also see:
/Bayesian/will-reddit-be-in-the-top-10-most-v

/Bayesian/will-reddit-be-in-the-top-15-most-v

  • Update 2025-10-07 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - The sentence "If Reddit is 10th or higher, resolves YES." was a copy-paste error and should be ignored.

    • Resolution depends only on Wikipedia's ranking on the linked list at the specified date.

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Is "If Reddit is 10th or higher, resolves YES." a copy-paste error?

@UnconditionalProbability Yeah, thanks for flagging