πŸ“’βœŠ In what countries will mass public protests start in 2025?
βž•
Plus
61
αΉ€9585
Apr 14
99%
United States
98%
Greece
98%
TΓΌrkiye
98%
Serbia
95%
India
94%
France
87%
Bangladesh
83%
Hungary
76%
Georgia
75%
Israel
72%
Cuba
69%
Pakistan
66%
Brazil
61%
Romania
60%
Bolivia
53%
Italy
50%
Yemen
41%
UK
41%
Taiwan
37%
Egypt

Resolved monthly throughout 2025 based on updates to the Carnegie Endowment Protest Tracker:

https://carnegieendowment.org/features/global-protest-tracker?lang=en

It’s impossible to predict exactly when the tracker will be updated, so this market may close early or be extended a few times mid month.

Resolves YES if there is a protest of >10,000 participants. NO if the country makes it to the end of 2025 with no protests that large.

Once resolved, countries can’t be re-added until the active protest is finished (too confusing otherwise). Countries only. Non-countries resolved as NA.

Get αΉ€1,000 play money
Sort by:

Surprising that the source doesn't seem to mention the UK summer 2024 far right riots over the southport knife attack, easily the most high profile and destructive protest in the country the past decade

bought αΉ€20 Answer #8QNSlyAcnN YES

@BlueDragon Surely Phillipines resolves yes, right?

@TheAllMemeingEye good catch! It should have, yes

bought αΉ€25 Answer #8QNSlyAcnN YES

What year, if any, since 1930 has India not had a protest with > 10k people?

@MaybeNotDepends Unless the resolution source stinks.

bought αΉ€10 Bangladesh YES
bought αΉ€838 Answer #u9SgIpgI0E YES

Resolved YES for February based on Mar 5 updates:

Belgium

Pension reform protest

>60,000

No other protests exceeded 10,000 participants, according to Carnegie.

bought αΉ€576 Serbia YES

Will a country resolve YES even if the protest is part of a commemoration of a date for 1 day only and its not actually against government?

@PoliticalEconomyPK if it meets the resolution criteria

Resolved yes for JANUARY 2025 based on February 10 update:

Slovakia <100,000

Germany 2.4 million (!!!)

Also would have resolved yes:

Australia

@BlueDragon Are you getting confused with 2024?

@TheAllMemeingEye looks like I conflated the German protests, but both met the criteria. Thanks for catching that!

Double-checked that the resolution is otherwise correct.

Serbia resolves YES , but of course only when it is mentioned on the tracker

reposted

Upgraded to Plus!

reposted

Protest market for 2025 up! First resolution will be mid February. End of year special! Just 25M to add countries.