Which movies will have a >70% RottenTomatoes score two weeks after their release?
47
Ṁ18k
2025
95%
Releasing 2024-09-13: Speak No Evil (2024)
65%
Releasing 2024-09-27: Lee
14%
Releasing 2024-09-27: Megalopolis
13%
Releasing 2024-10-04: Joker: Folie à Deux
88%
Releasing 2024-10-11: Saturday Night
41%
Releasing 2024-11-27: Here
45%
Releasing 2025-02-14: Captain America: Brave New World
Resolved
YES
Dune: Part Two
Resolved
YES
Kung Fu Panda 4
Resolved
NO
Madame Web
Resolved
NO
Releasing 2024-03-22: Ghostbusters: Frozen Empire
Resolved
YES
Releasing 2024-05-03: The Fall Guy
Resolved
YES
Releasing 2024-05-08: Kingdom of the Planet of the Apes
Resolved
YES
Releasing 2024-05-24: Furiosa
Resolved
NO
Releasing 2024-05-24: Garfield
Resolved
YES
Releasing 2024-06-14: Inside Out 2
Resolved
NO
Releasing 2024-07-03: Despicable Me 4
Resolved
YES
Releasing 2024-07-26: Deadpool 3
Resolved
YES
Releasing 2024-08-16 Alien: Romulus

By tomatometer score. Individual answers to be resolved as soon as possible.

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bought Ṁ300 Releasing 2024-09-13... YES

Can someone close Alien: Romulus?

@BoltonBailey mind adding the release dates to the options that don't have them? I've looked them up - the only one that's still TBD is Joker

release dates:
Speak No Evil - Sept 13, 2024
Saturday Night - Oct 11, 2024
Megalopolis - Sept 27, 2024

Lee - Sept 27, 2024

Here - Nov 27, 2024

Alien: Romulus - Aug 16, 2024 (this one should resolve on Aug 30)

thanks! 🧡

Releasing 2024-07-26: Deadpool 3

@BoltonBailey this should have resolved a couple of weeks ago - it's at 78% nearly a month after release so should be a clear Yes afaict

Releasing 2024-07-03: Despicable Me 4
bought Ṁ500 Releasing 2024-07-03... NO

@BoltonBailey @mods This resolves NO.

DM4 is at 56% currently and has stayed below 60% pretty much since release.

Releasing 2024-06-14: Inside Out 2
bought Ṁ331 Releasing 2024-06-14... YES

@BoltonBailey resolves YES

bought Ṁ50 Releasing 2024-07-03... NO

@mods "Note: My usage of Manifold has decreased recently. Moderators should feel free to resolve my markets as they see fit."

@BoltonBailey furiosa and Garfield can resolve (YES and NO)

@mods pinged creator a week ago, no response.

furiosa resolves YES, Garfield resolves NO, and then the market can reopen (the creator was setting a new close date for each independent option)

@Ziddletwix any idea what the close date should be?

bought Ṁ500 Releasing 2024-06-14... YES

The creator was setting it to 2 weeks after each release, but that was a personal reminder to themselves (to resolve the next option—the intention of that close date was not to actually block trading after a certain point, 2w after release the scores aren't changing anyways).

so if the creator isn't responsive, imo just set the close date to the final movie (2w after 2025-02-14, so 2025-02-28), and if the creator returns they can set the close date earlier if they choose

Releasing 2024-05-08: Kingdom of the Planet of the Apes

@BoltonBailey this market closed, so can you resolve kingdom YES & reopen?

Releasing 2024-05-03: The Fall Guy

@BoltonBailey can resolve YES

I'm going to put the release date on all of these

@BoltonBailey you may wanna extend the market again too

@BoltonBailey KFP4 had a 71% at closing, should resolve YES

@BoltonBailey why does this close now?

bought Ṁ10 Kung Fu Panda 4 NO

I assume you'll use the precision displayed by RT? I.e. if it shows 70% after two weeks, it resolves NO? (As we can't see an exact decimal percentage)

bought Ṁ300 Madame Web NO

@BoltonBailey Madame Web released two weeks ago, Feb 14, and has RT score of 12%. That option can resolve NO. (Thanks for the market!)

@BoltonBailey mind resolving this? (it hasn't been crazy long or anything but i'm low on liquidity so figured I'd check lol)

@Ziddletwix Thanks for the ping. If there are no objections, I'm just going to set the close date to the next time a movie should resolve and perpetually update it.