Will intersections where self-driving cars can ignore traffic signals exist in the US by end of 2030?
Plus
22
Ṁ10982031
12%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Inspired by this GCP Grey video. Resolves YES if, by the close date, there are at least two intersections in the United States where it regularly happens that in the space of 12 seconds, at least 4 self-driving cars can and do legally go straight through the intersection in alternating order:
First one car along one street,
then another car along the other street,
then another car along the first street again,
then another car along the second again.
Without slowing down to less than half of their typical driving speed on the rest of the street.
The cars must be carrying regular people trying to get somewhere, not just people who are trying to drive in self-driving cars purely of itself.
Get Ṁ1,000 play money
Related questions
Related questions
Will self-driving cars become the primary mode of transportation in major US cities by 2030?
18% chance
Full self driving cars will be legal with no need for human interaction in any country by the end of 2025?
21% chance
Will any USA state ban self driving cars by the end of 2025?
25% chance
Will any state in the USA ban self driving cars by the end of 2026?
20% chance
Will fully autonomous (level 5) self-driving cars be available in a major city before 2030?
85% chance
In the US, will only self-driving vehicles be allowed on public roads by the year 2045?
11% chance
Will more than 50% of cars sold in 2030 in the US have self driving capabilities (SAE level 3)?
48% chance
Will it be illegal to drive a car in the US by end of 2040?
4% chance
Will I have easy access to a long-distance self-driving car by the end of 2028?
27% chance
Will a country ban human driven cars in favor of AI self driving in at least one city center by the end of 2040?
60% chance