Will PredictIt continue to have a conservative bent by end of 2028?
11
Ṁ1772029
63%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
I've heard this comment several times, and it seems odd given political biases ought to decrease performance in the context of prediction markets.
Resolves based on whether PredictIt has a conservative bent when forecasting the 2028 US presidential election relative to competitor prediction market / forecasting platforms.
Dec 12, 3:19pm: Will the popular perception that PredictIt has a conservative bias persist by end of 2028? → Will PredictIt continue to have a conservative bent by end of 2028?
Get Ṁ1,000 play money
Sort by:
@L I will look at PredictIt shares for major election markets and if there is a substantial conservative leaning relative to other orgs like Manifold, Metaculus, Kalshi, etc. then I will resolve positively
Related questions
Related questions
Will prediction markets become mainstream by 2028?
43% chance
Will PredictIt still be operating markets through Dec 2024?
61% chance
Will PredictIt still be operating markets through 2025?
68% chance
Which prediction markets and forecasting platforms will still be opening new markets/questions through 2028?
Will people care about prediction markets by 2025?
20% chance
Which prediction markets will win?
At the end of 2024, will any prediction markets have a clear lead over the others?
Will 538 correctly predict the winner of the 2024 presidential election?
67% chance
Will real money political prediction markets be legal in the US before the end of 2025?
70% chance
Will this question lean towards NO by the end of 2024?
50% chance
Will PredictIt still exist and have active trading at the end of 2024?
89% chance