Will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan by the end of 2026?
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แน€3747
2026
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This question will be resolved as 'yes' if AP, Reuters, and AFP unanimously report that the People's Republic of China has launched a full-scale invasion of Taiwan. If one or more of those agencies cease to exist, the reporting from the remaining agency(ies) will be considered sufficient.

#๏ธ Politics
#Geopolitics
#China Taiwan potential conflict
#๐Ÿ‡น๐Ÿ‡ผ Taiwan
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What defines full-scale?

@PhilipR Not a raid by some few special forces, but e.g. an effort to take control of the island by many units.

@CertaintyOfVictory I'm doubtful, considering the sociopolitical implications.

@PhilipR seems like NATO would declare war at that point considering all militaries depend on TSMC

@PhilipR Then bet it down.

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