By when will Biden no longer be President
35
Ṁ5479
2029
0.8%
18-AUG-2024 — before Convention
4%
31-AUG-2024 — after Convention
4%
06-NOV-2024 — day after election
87%
21-JAN-2025 — day after inauguration
0.9%
01-JAN-2026 — 1st calendar year of reelection
0.9%
01-JAN-2027 — 2nd year
0.9%
01-JAN-2028 — 3rd year
1.1%
Anytime in or after 2029

What is the earliest date, among the given choices, at which Biden will no longer be officially President?

The last choice can be taken to mean that he finishes out his second term, or, however unlikely, starts his second term.

Anyone stepping in as active president will not count as triggering a resolution, as Biden must officially no longer be President.

In the event that any doubt hangs over this issue, I’ll close the question at my own discretion.

Get Ṁ1,000 play money
Sort by:
soldṀ4018-AUG-2024 — before... YES

@Bayesian And there goes my alpha 👋

@ChristopherFitzgeraldRey Will you resolve all of the options in 2029, or each option as and when it resolves?

@biased I asked about the possibility of resolving individually but it seems that I did not create the question with that possibility. For the moment, I suspect that I’ll resolve this on 21-JAN unless I see strong indications that Biden plans to run again.