Resolves to number of successful launches of all variants of orbital launch vehicles on Nextspaceflight's Manifest Page.
https://nextspaceflight.com/launches/past/?search=SpaceX
in August UTC.
If that page is demonstrably wrong or out of date, then I will either wait for update or a correct source will be decided upon and used as a replacement.
A launch is considered successful if it is outlined in green on the linked manifest page.
Launches outlined with red (failure) or orange (partial failure) will not count as successful.
(Starship is considered an orbital launch vehicle, regardless of true orbit not being demonstrated. However, it isn't having much success recently.)
September 2025 market is at
Not getting the weather they need to launch
Still only 2 launches on 10th and will be a third of way through month before next attempt.
While there are 11 planned launches with dates up to 24th August there are a couple with impossibly fast turnaround times for the pad: 12th 13th 23rd and 24th all from VSFB making getting all those done by 24th unlikely.
5 Successfully done in first 14 days of August, next not until 18th
Planned dates seem to have sorted out into more sensible gaps so now it shows
7 with planned dates by 30th
I see a couple of extra possible slots, but there could be further delays and Starship has not been very successful recently so it is possible that could end up not counting even if it does launch in August.