When will there be a company worth $4T or more?
โž•
Plus
58
แน€57k
resolved Jul 9
Resolved
NO
On or before close 15 January 2025
Resolved
NO
On or before close 31 January 2025
Resolved
NO
On or before close 15 February 2025
Resolved
NO
On or before close 28 February 2025
Resolved
NO
On or before close 15 March 2025
Resolved
NO
On or before close 31 March 2025
Resolved
NO
On or before close 15 April 2025
Resolved
NO
On or before close 30 April 2025
Resolved
NO
On or before close 15 May 2025
Resolved
NO
On or before close 31 May 2025
Resolved
NO
On or before close 15 June 2025
Resolved
NO
On or before close 30 June 2025
Resolved
YES
On or before close 15 Aug 2025
Resolved
YES
On or before close 31 Aug 2025
Resolved
YES
On or before close 15 Sept 2025
Resolved
YES
On or before close 30 Sept 2025
Resolved
YES
On or before close 31 Dec 2025
Resolved
YES
On or before close 15 July 2025
Resolved
YES
On or before close 31 July 2025

Intra day values count.

Please post if you see that this has occurred.

Get แน€1,000 play money

๐Ÿ… Top traders

#NameTotal profit
1แน€1,081
2แน€582
3แน€332
4แน€137
5แน€132
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bought แน€587 On or before close 3... YES

I didn't think it would occur so early, but here it is

bought แน€100 On or before close 1... YES
sold แน€0 On or before close ... YES

NVDA within 3.5%, seems to happen every other day.

bought แน€5 On or before close 1... YES

@deagol Another +4.4% needed in 1 trading day 4 hours seems a long shot.

Near 10% every 15 days? Hmm. when it is currently so close, is that the right pattern or should 15 July have significant probability and rest then rise much more slowly?

Not quite sure what you are saying with 3.5%, are you saying that is near max daily movement? So 2% is too high? If 3.5% is the 95 percentile for daily movement then ... or should I be thinking something different?

@ChristopherRandles It was within 3.5% of $4T when I posted at 11:45 AM ET, I think around the high of the day $158.71.

As for your first point, yes, option pricing models have time premium decaying proportionally to the square root of time to expiry. I wasn't saying it would happen by Monday, just that all the option prices seemed to underestimate NVDA capacity of rallying 3-6% in a single day, or a week or two (near +12% this week), of course not every day or week but not uncommon.

opened a แน€20,750 On or before close 3... NO at 1.0% order

@ChristopherRandles another NO (fat finger traded lol!)

@deagol need to automate ;)

@SterettSeckman all good, no harm done!

On or before close 15 April 2025

@ChristopherRandles NO again, thanks.

bought แน€100 On or before close 3... NO

Currently no company over $3T
Apple at $2.904

Apple $222.13
Market cap 3.34Bn
52 week high $260.09

So max market cap = 3.34B /222.13* 260.06 = $3.91B
31 March resolves no

On or before close 31 January 2025

@ChristopherRandles this one can resolve NO, thanks.

Nvidia takes lead again