Will the wild population of the Asian Elephant (Elephas maximus) become Extinct by 2100?
4
Ṁ3442099
27%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This market focuses on the extinction risk of the wild population of the Asian Elephant, a species that is classified as “Endangered” on the IUCN Red List (last assessment: 2019). It will resolve YES, if the species is declared Extinct in the Wild or Extinct by the IUCN by 2100, or earlier. It will also resolve YES, if there is other strong evidence in 2100 that the wild population is extinct. The market will resolve NO, if there is strong evidence in 2100, that the wild population of the Asian Elephant persists.
For more information about the species, see:
For comparison, here the market about the complete extinction risk, including captive individuals:
Get Ṁ1,000 play money
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