
By 2030, will 20% of voters identify as longtermists?
Mini
7
Ṁ5012029
4%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Get Ṁ1,000 play money
Related questions
Related questions
By 2030, will 50% of voters identify as longtermists?
3% chance
What will be the most popular political affiliation in the 2024 LessWrong survey?
Will a third party get more than 25% of the popular vote in a presidential election no later than 2040?
35% chance
Will at least 20% of Western democracies cease to be de facto democratic by 2034?
21% chance
I will conduct a brexit twitter poll in 2030, what will the % Leave be?
63% chance
Will half of the world’s population or more live in democracies before 2030?
22% chance
Will any of the following Western countries' legislatures be majority controlled by explicitly fascist or communist political parties before 2030?
29% chance
Will 10% or more of Americans identify as atheist by 2040?
84% chance
Will European voters keep turning rightward during 2024?
89% chance
What portion of US Jews will identify as Democrats in 2031?
61% chance